Estimate your H-1B lottery selection probability based on USCIS cap data. See how odds shift year-to-year and what factors affect your chances.
A U.S. master's degree gives you two chancesto be selected (steps 1 & 2), while a bachelor's degree gives you one chance (step 2 only).
Do you hold a U.S. master's degree or higher?
| Year | Total Registrations | Masters+ Odds | Regular Cap Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025Latest | 470,342 | ~24% | ~15% |
| FY2024 | 780,884 | ~14% | ~9% |
| FY2023 | 483,927 | ~23% | ~16% |
| FY2022 | 308,613 | ~37% | ~26% |
| FY2021 | 274,237 | ~48% | ~35% |
Selection rates are approximate estimates. USCIS selects ~130% of cap slots to account for petitions that are withdrawn or rejected. Source: USCIS H-1B Cap Data.
~March 1
Registration opens
USCIS opens the online registration window
~March 22
Registration closes
Exact date varies — typically 2–3 weeks after opening
Late March
Lottery results
USCIS notifies registrants via myUSCIS account
June 30
Petition filing deadline
Selected registrants must file I-129 by this date
October 1
Earliest start date
H-1B fiscal year begins; work can start on or after this date
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